It is too early to tell who will win the Democratic nomination because although Senator Sanders only won four states on Super Tuesday, he shows striking similarities to President Obama’s election in 2008. The current POTUS was not projected to win the presidential nomination in 2008 against Clinton but he still did.
Senators Sanders has been appealing to the masses by reminding the voters just that. In 2008, Iowa voted for Obama despite his unlikely chance of winning the nomination and Sanders has used that piece of information to his advantage. As Bustle News put it, he has been “acknowledging himself as another longshot candidate who was deserving of the party’s support.”
Obama’s ethnicity helped him gain support from minority voters during his presidential election years. Clinton has still been trying to appeal to the Latino and Black communities and successfully doing so. However, it is important to remember that Senator Sanders marched alongside Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. during the Civil Rights Movement. This speaks volumes about how much he actually connects with the minority voters. President Obama was a member of the community, and Senator Sanders fought for this same community throughout his lifetime.
When President Obama surprisingly won the Iowa caucus in 2008, he made statements during his victory speech that are parallel to what Senator Sanders has been saying throughout his campaign. Obama repeated that wealth win not win over the voters and threw shade at the nominees who insisted that their money would lead them to a victory.
On Super Tuesday in 2008, the polls showed that Clinton was leading over Obama with a 3.2 margin. As of February 29th, Clinton leads over Sanders with a 9.6 margin. The polls showed that when Obama had a spike in the polls, though he was still slightly behind Clinton, he only continued to rise. Clinton remained seemingly stagnant as Obama proceeded to rise in the polls and ultimately oust her from the Democratic nomination, and then go on to win 2 terms as POTUS.
When looking at the polls between Clinton and Sanders, though behind Clinton, Sanders is showing the same type of spikes as Obama did in ’08. In this moment, the race is getting closer. If history repeats itself, as it tends to do, Sanders still has a shot of winning the Democratic nomination.